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U.S. Farmers Remain Optimistic Despite Tariff Concerns, Crop Price Pressures

Despite tariff worries and record yields, farmers remain optimistic about the nation's direction. They anticipate government support if trade wars drive prices down.

In this image we can see an agricultural farm. At the top of the image there are trees.
In this image we can see an agricultural farm. At the top of the image there are trees.

U.S. Farmers Remain Optimistic Despite Tariff Concerns, Crop Price Pressures

The Purdue University/CME Group's Ag Economy Barometer, released in September 2021, offers insights into U.S. farmers' sentiments. Despite a dip in confidence regarding tariffs, a majority of farmers remain optimistic about the nation's direction.

The overall Barometer rose slightly to 126, driven by farmers' positive long-term expectations despite a dip in current conditions. While 71% of farmers believe the U.S. is 'headed in the right direction', confidence in tariffs has weakened. Farmers' concerns about record-high corn and soybean yields pressuring crop prices were evident in the survey.

Farmers' optimism is reflected in their expectations for government support. If a trade war drives commodity prices lower, 83% of producers anticipate a program similar to the 2019 Market Facilitation Program (MFP).

However, farmland values and investment plans show signs of caution. The Short-Term Farmland Values Expectations Index fell to 106, with 58% expecting values to remain steady. The Farm Capital Investment Index dropped to 53, indicating fewer farmers consider it a good time for major investments.

Cover crop usage has increased, with just over half (53%) of farmers reporting its use on some acreage. The September Farm Financial Performance Index also fell to 88, marking the third consecutive month of lowered expectations for 2025 compared to 2024.

The September 2021 Ag Economy Barometer shows a mix of optimism and caution among U.S. farmers. While farmers remain confident in the nation's direction and anticipate potential government support, they also express concerns about crop prices and are hesitant about major investments. The future of U.S. agriculture appears to be a balance of hope and prudence.

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