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Solar Development Order Disappointment - Analyst Foresees Correction Opportunity for SMA Solar

Solar stock of SMA experiences declines due to subpar half-year earnings and cautious expert opinions.

Disappointment in Solar SMA's Order Development - Analyst Predicts Correction Opportunity Clarity
Disappointment in Solar SMA's Order Development - Analyst Predicts Correction Opportunity Clarity

Solar Development Order Disappointment - Analyst Foresees Correction Opportunity for SMA Solar

SMA Solar, a leading solar energy solutions provider, has reported in-line Q2 2025 results. However, the company is under pressure and disappointing analysts due to significant losses in its Home & Business Solutions (HBS) division, ongoing pricing pressures, and market headwinds.

The HBS division incurred a substantial €129 million EBIT loss, overshadowing the €569 million growth seen in large-scale projects. This loss reflects weakened demand and intensified competition, especially in the residential segment. As a result, the company's total sales declined year-over-year.

Despite implementing a €100 million cost-cutting program that improved free cash flow to about €66 million, these savings were insufficient to counterbalance the losses in HBS. Competitive pressures from Asian manufacturers and regulatory challenges in key markets like the U.S. have added complexity and uncertainty to the company’s outlook.

SMA Solar's strategic moves, such as shifting production to the U.S. to comply with IRA requirements and focusing on hybrid storage system innovation in Europe, represent efforts to regain footing but have yet to fully restore investor confidence.

Critical voices were raised regarding the order development at SMA Solar. As of June 30, 2025, the company's order backlog was 1.161.4 million euros, with 848.3 million euros of this relating to the product business.

Despite the reported results being on target, analysts are disappointed because the strong growth in SMA’s large-scale projects division cannot yet offset severe operational losses and market challenges in residential solutions, leading to overall weaker financial performance and cautious future guidance.

SMA Solar shares initially experienced a significant loss today but have since trimmed the decline. As of late morning, the stock is trading 0.8 percent lower at 19.09 euros. Hesse, an analyst at Jefferies, views the figures as a disappointment, particularly in the profitable large-order segment.

Hesse has reaffirmed his previous assessment of "Underperform" for SMA Solar and set a price target of 16.00 euros. The chart perspective for SMA Solar remains weak, with the 200-day line serving as an important support for the stock.

In a bid to position its HBS division for the future, SMA Solar is planning to focus on cost savings, efficiency gains, and streamlining the product portfolio. The outlook for SMA Solar was confirmed, but the company faces an uphill battle to regain investor confidence and navigate the challenging market conditions.

  1. The losses in SMA Solar's Home & Business Solutions (HBS) division, due to weakened demand and intensified competition, especially in the residential segment, have caused significant concern for investors and analysts in the finance and business sectors, leveraging technology to analyze the company's performance.
  2. Recognizing the challenges faced by the HBS division, SMA Solar is taking strategic measures such as cost savings, efficiency gains, and streamlining the product portfolio to reposition the division for future investing opportunities, seeking to navigate the complexities brought about by competitive pressures and regulatory challenges in the technology-driven energy solutions industry.

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