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Possible increase in Rocket Lab's share value outpacing the S&P 500 by 2026

Space exploration company, Rocket Lab, seals a groundbreaking agreement, projected to span the subsequent eight years.

Rocket Lab's Shares Potential Outperformance against S&P 500 in 2026
Rocket Lab's Shares Potential Outperformance against S&P 500 in 2026

Possible increase in Rocket Lab's share value outpacing the S&P 500 by 2026

Rocket Lab Announces Stock Sale and Cash Cushion

Space technology company Rocket Lab has announced plans to sell up to $750 million worth of new stock, aiming to raise capital without indenturing itself to big banks. The move comes as the company continues to make strides in the high-tech rocketry and satellite development industries.

Last year, Rocket Lab experienced a negative free cash flow of $116 million. However, the company's high stock price allows it to raise capital without resorting to new debt, reducing the risk of Rocket Lab getting close to bankruptcy. Assuming Rocket Lab's cash burn rate returns to $116 million a year and then shrinks as revenues rise, the company could soon have a $940 million cash cushion, enough to keep it solvent for the next eight years.

The stock offering eliminates any future need for Rocket Lab to take on new debt. If the company proceeds with the stock sale, total shareholder dilution will amount to only 3.3%. This means that Rocket Lab has avoided diluting shareholders significantly by waiting for a higher stock price to sell shares.

The stock immediately sold off, closing the trading session down nearly 13%. However, the high stock price of Rocket Lab could be a feature that helps the stock soar even higher. Rocket Lab's sales have more than doubled over the last two-and-a-half years, currently valuing the company at an incredible 45 times trailing sales.

Major institutional investors have shown their financial support for Rocket Lab through share acquisitions and options. These include Vanguard Group Inc., VK Services LLC, State Street Corp, Geode Capital Management, Invesco Ltd., Westfield Capital Management Co. LP, Royal Bank of Canada, and Voya Investment Management LLC. The elimination of the need for new debt and the potential for further growth could provide a potential reason for Rocket Lab stock to resume rising.

Despite the arguably high stock price, Rocket Lab is considered a superb space business. The company is a leader in both high-tech rocketry and satellite development, making it an attractive investment for many. However, most analysts covering the company agree that Rocket Lab won't earn its first profit until Q3 2027.

By selling shares at a higher price, Rocket Lab could raise the same amount of money with fewer shares, preserving more ownership for shareholders. The removal of the risk of future debt could be a significant factor in the company's continued growth and success.

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